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Playoffs pattern! The league reverses the decline first, the Eastern Conference boss is on the verge of being eliminated 1-3, and the Warriors are in trouble

2:50am, 16 May 2025Basketball

NBA divisional semi-finals are in full swing. In the first two games of the four-group showdown, the teams that ranked lower have taken the lead, especially the Knicks and Pacers in the East, both leading the two favorites to win the championship 2-0. The Western Conference Warriors also snatched a victory from the Timberwolves at home, and the Nuggets faced the biggest favorite to win the season. But starting from G3, everything is changing, the Cavaliers and the Celtics win, the Nuggets protect their home advantage, and the Warriors lose to the Timberwolves without Curry. After the G4 started, the Thunder narrowly defeated the Nuggets by 5 points in the early morning game. The referee gave the Nuggets too many opportunities, but the Nuggets kept making a fuss! The Pacers beat the Cavaliers with 20 points, and tied the NBA record with 41 points in the first half! In this series of Nuggets and Thunder, the Nuggets originally had the initiative, and as the series deepened, Alexander's excessive reliance on free throws was exposed, and the Thunder seemed to have a very limited upper limit. But one thing is easy to be ignored. The Thunder eliminated the Grizzlies 4-0 in the first round, almost no physical energy was consumed, and there was still 9 days of rest. The Nuggets' six-player rotation played a tiebreak in the first round, and had less than 48 hours of rest. They started a war of attrition with the young people of the Thunder. The longer they delayed, the less competitive the Nuggets were. This is the case in the G4 game. The Nuggets only scored a pitiful 8 points in the first quarter. They did work hard in defense, but the offense was completely inaccurate! Starting from the second quarter, the Nuggets made continuous free throws, and Murray and Gordon blossomed from the outside, the Nuggets slowly overtook the score. But in the stalemate, the Nuggets cut off power again!

The Thunder relied on Wallace and Wiggins to make three three-pointers against the sky, and Alexander also scored 25 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists. In the end, the Thunder 92-87 Nuggets. The referee kept prolonging the Nuggets' lives at critical moments, but Jokic lost consecutive free throws and his physical fitness was completely overdrawn. After the Thunder tied 2-2, the initiative returned to their own hands, and they have begun to put pressure on Jokic like Howard's defense in Bubble Park in 20 years. Jokic's continuous fake falls have also attracted controversy from the US media. Nuggets coach Adelman Jr. is still dissatisfied with the defense and said that the referee is not consistent with the dictator's standards, and Jokic is frustrated by this. Also frustrated is the Knight! In the match against the Pacers Series G4, the Cavaliers fell behind the Pacers 39-80 41 points in the first half! How did they reach the top spot in the Eastern Conference in the regular season?

Compared to the Pacers who launched more attacks and all the people made three-pointers, the Cavaliers' offense was too bad. As long as Mitchell was attacked by pincers, the Cavaliers collapsed in an instant. Moreover, the two small defenders, Mitchell and Garland, could not limit the Pacers' outside attack at all. With Mitchell's midfielder injured in the warm-up, the Pacers finally defeated the Cavaliers 129-109, leading 3-1 in the series, and getting the match point first! The most important thing is that in such an important game, Halliburton doesn’t even need to exert force, and Sika + Turner + Toppin leads the team to widen the gap! Data shows that since the NBA playoffs statistics have been made, the teams that have achieved a 3-1 lead in the series have a 95% chance of advancing to the next round, with a total record of 280 wins and 13 losses!

Celtics were reversed by the Knicks in two consecutive home courts. In G3, the team was 20 points ahead and it was not safe, so it was 30 points ahead. With the team split and rebuilding this summer, no one else is safe except for the double-team Jaylen Brown and Tatum. However, White and Prichard gradually found their shooting status. On the contrary, Porzingis gradually became an outsider, and coach Mazula continued to increase Horford's playing time. In the words of Boston media, Boston is still troubled by unknown viruses, and the sequelae of his body severely consumes his physical strength. According to US media analysis, no matter what the Celtics ends this season’s playoffs, Porzingis’s departure this summer is a foregone conclusion, and Holiday may also become the target of being cleaned. The situation of the Warriors is actually the worst. Yesterday, the Warriors lost 5 points in the end, although Butler scored 33 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists, and Kumingga scored 30 points, but in the end the Warriors still lost 5 points. In Cole's words, this certainly cannot be the norm, and we cannot expect a combined 63 points to appear again. The general attitude of the US media is to criticize Kuming for scoring points + poor defense + destroying the team system. Butler went through a 43-minute fierce battle and was cleared in the fourth quarter. He lacked Curry's Warriors, and the upper limit was far from defeating the Timberwolves. According to medical experts' analysis, this kind of playing has a certain impact on Butler's injury. Butler's original words were: If we can't win the next game, we don't have to look forward to Curry's return! Curry will not be able to return until G6 as soon as possible, and the Warriors probably won't be able to hold on.

Judging from the probability prediction given by the US media "BR", the probability of the Thunder advancing to the Western Conference Finals increased to 70%, while the Nuggets were only 30%; the probability of the Timberwolves advancing was 75.2%, and the Warriors was 24.8%. The probability of Celtics advancing in the Eastern Conference is 52.1%, while the Knicks are 47.9%. As for the Cavaliers, it is only a matter of time before they are eliminated. Garland and Mitchell's huge defensive shortcomings cannot support the upper limit.

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