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The offseason is a big gamble! The four major stars change their squads, who will counterattack the gods?

10:58am, 15 July 2025Basketball

"Magic Soha's four unprotected first-round picks were only for one part-star. The Heat picked up a bargain and averaged 21+ players per game but blocked the road to superstars. Green gave up 6.43 million US dollars to make his old club successful and was sold off - can these four transactions that rewrite the alliance pattern really make them famous in their new club?"

1. Jaylen Green (Sun): Can the "victims" who have reduced their own value seize the opportunity to save?

6.43 million US dollars were thrown away: In order to facilitate the 7-party transaction, Green voluntarily gave up the trading margin of $6.43 million, and only symbolically retained 500,000. Behind this "resatisfied old clubs" pattern is actually a cruel reality that was abandoned by the Rockets - the playoff shooting rate plummeted to 37.2%, and the dismal data of only 28% at critical moments made the management completely give up.

The Suns' "Double-edged Sword Opportunity": The new coach Ultra plans to allow Green to transform into a point guard and form a "double-gun raid" combination with Booker. The two averaged 48 points per game last season, with a pick-and-roll efficiency of 92% of the Super League players, but the hidden danger is also fatal: if Bill stays in the team, he will squeeze Green's ball, and the Suns' substitute averages only 28 points per game (third from the bottom in the league), with extremely low fault tolerance.

The proof of life and death speed: Green needs to prove that he is worthy of an annual salary of 33.3 million in 1 year, otherwise he may become a bargaining chip again. His breakthrough score accounts for 37% + fast break efficiency, but his three-point stability (35.4%) and transition error rate (7th defender) are still flaws.

2. Desmond Bain (Magic): 4 first round betting sharpshooting, perfect puzzle or premium trap?

Magic's "desperate gamble": In order to fill the league's bottom three-point firepower (26.3% playoff shooting percentage), the Magic did not hesitate to send Pope and Cole Anthony + 4 unprotected first round + 1 swap rights, which is the craziest trade in the offseason. Bain's career 40% three-point shooting percentage + 0.988 points per round of pick-and-roll is exactly the "space antidote" that Banchero Wagner dreams of the double-forward system.

The tactical status is as stable as Mount Tai: there is no need to hold the core identity of the ball, Bain only needs to be a good end point on the outside line - the three-point shooting percentage of the receiving and shooting rate of 43.2% last season, perfectly adapting to the Magic's "front-driven" system. More importantly, his qualified outside defense can build a backcourt iron gate with Sages to avoid becoming a Poole-like loophole.

Invisible Bomb: The price of overdrawing the future! If Bain cannot help the Magic break through the first round (the last time he won the series was in 2010), the first round pick in 2030 may become a reconstruction nightmare. Moreover, if Bancero is selected for the Best Team next year, the starting salary for the new contract accounts for 30% of the salary cap, and the Magic will be in a hell of a salary of over 32.4 million for four people.

3. Jordan Poole (Pelicans): The No. 3 jersey is back in the world, is it the savior or the locker room bomb?

The Pelicans' "Miscenary Operation": while renewing the contract with defensive player Herbert Jones in advance for 68 million in three years, while exchanging McCollum for Poole, the logical contradictions of the lineup are revealed. Although Poole has championship experience, he was 20% behind the Wizards' defensive efficiency last season (counter hit rate + 6.2%), and his organizational ability was even worse (assisted and turnover ratio of 1.8).

Zion's last hope? In theory, Poole's run without the ball + three-pointer receiving the ball (37.8%) can maximize the power of Zion's breakthrough pass. But reality is slim: the management of the Pelicans medical team is chaotic (Zion missed more than 45% of the games in the past four seasons), the main controller Murray had a serious injury to the Achilles tendon, and Poole may be forced to take charge - this is tantamount to letting the sniper carry the bazooka.

Undercover thunder in the locker room: After joining Poole joined, he posted a high-profile social media post "terror!", as if he regarded himself as a leader. However, the key mistakes + defensive colander performances last season are vivid in my mind. If there is a ball conflict with Ingram and Zion, the Pelicans locker room may reappear for the replica of the "Green Boxing Incident".

4. Norman Powell (Heat): A plug-and-play ace puzzle, injury becomes the only roadblock

Riley's "precision scalpel": The Heat exchanged Love + Li Kaile for Powell, which is the smartest trade in the offseason. He averaged 21.8 points per game + three-in-one shooting percentage of 48.4%/41.8%/80.4%, and scored 24.2 points before the All-Star, which is the "hemostatic agent" urgently needed by the Heat's offensive end (21st in the efficiency league). The ultimate answer to the

Spoel system: Powell seamlessly fits the Heat culture - the master of running without the ball + pick-and-roll weapon (1.27 points per round), can share the pressure of Herro's scoring, and play two-man with Adebayo. What's more important is that he has the Raptors' championship gene and the big heart attributes in the playoffs have been verified.

The biggest regret is laid: after getting Powell, the Heat triggered a hard salary cap and completely withdrew from the Bills battle. Moreover, he has missed more than 22 games in three seasons in the past four years, and his hamstring injury has repeatedly become a hidden danger. If he is injured, the Heat's offense will return to the old path of "Butler's single-core hard-chief".

Conclusion: The success or failure of the new season is betting on the ultimate fit between human nature and the system

Behind these four deals are the completely different team building philosophy of the four teams: Magic bet on the present (overdrawing the future to make up for shortcomings), Heat bet on combat power (giving up superstars to pursue adaptability), Sun betting on talent (betting on Green's transformation), Pelicans betting on metaphysics (relying on Poole Zion to be compatible). The key to the fate of the four protagonists has long been hidden in the details - Can Bain's three-pointer save the Magic's first round of 16 years? Can Powell's hamstrings withstand the Heat culture's squeeze? Will Green's point guard experiment become an excuse for the Sun to make a bad move? When will Poole's locker room bomb detonate?

There is no winner in this big bet, only the fittest survives. Who do you think is most likely to change your fate against the will of heaven? Who will become a bargaining chip for the next transaction?

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