Newcastle United vs Barcelona, Yamal is injured, pre-match dynamics and victory predictions
12:20pm, 19 September 2025Football
1. Core win-loss prediction
• Mainstream viewpoints tend to be unbeaten by Barcelona:
Barcelona has the advantage in overall strength and recent state (3 wins and 1 draw in La Liga, 6-0 defeating Valencia), but injuries and away performance are hidden dangers.
Newcastle has a significant home advantage (has won 4-1 against Paris), but the attacking injury (Isaac left the team and Gordon was absent) weakened its offensive firepower, and the league averaged only 0.75 goals per game.
Predicted score: Barcelona has the highest chance of winning a small victory (1-2) or a draw (2-2).
• Key winner:
Barcelona needs to crack high-pressure pressing to prevent Newcastle set pieces (Walter Mad's 1.98-meter threat);
Newcastle relies on fast counterattacks and home sound waves to create opportunities, but its ability to end is doubtful.
2. Pre-match dynamics and key information
• Injury list:
Barcelona: Yamal (groin injury), Ter Stegen, Garvey, and Barde are absent; De Jong's return is to be determined.
Newcastle: Gordon's suspension ended but his condition is doubtful, Ramsey and Visa are absent due to injuries.
• Tactical deployment:
Barcelona: Continuing the pass control system, Lewandowski, Rafinia and Fermin form an offensive triangle; using an orange away jersey (for the first time due to color conflict).
Newcastle: High pressure press + fast conversion, taking advantage of Waltermad's high altitude advantage and the counterattacks of Guimarães and Almiron.
• Historical confrontation and psychological advantages:
Barcelona has 3 wins and 1 loss in historical confrontation (2002-03 Champions League double), but the latest confrontation is more than 20 years ago, and reference is limited.
Newcastle legend Asprila (who wore a hat against Barcelona in 1997) was invited to cheer on the spot.
• Referee and off-court factors:
Swedish referee Glenn Nibery enforced the law and had ruled the international competition;
Barcelona has not been licensed because Camp Nou, and subsequent leagues need to use the Cruyff Stadium (6,000 capacity), losing revenue.
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