Choose 1 in the last 4, who can win the NBA? The probability of US media winning the championship after G1: The top 75% leads

The East and West Decisions officially start! The champion chose 1 in the last 4, who can win the NBA season 24-25? After the G1 of the division final, the US media "theanalyst" updated the probability of winning according to big data as soon as possible, among which the Thunder took the top spot and led the team with a probability of winning over 75%. The current score of the East and West Finals is as follows: The Thunder 1-0 Timberwolves;

East Finals: Pacers 1-0 Knicks.

4th place: Knicks

Final probability: 42.5%

Winning probability: 6.7%

With the home advantage, he was one-sided before the start of the series, and was once led by 14 points in the final quarter, the Knicks finally lost G1.

This makes them the only team in the NBA's playoffs in the past 27 years that led by at least 14 points but ended up losing with less than 3 minutes left in regular time. The previous record of leading the team was 970 wins and 0 losses.

not only lost the home advantage, but also allowed the opponent Pacers to establish a huge psychological advantage. The G1 Knicks exposed problems such as slow adjustments on the spot, but most of the time they still played against the Pacers, so they fell behind in the scores, and the probability of advancing to the finals and winning the championship was not much widened.

3rd place: Timberwolves

Final probability: 12.8%

Winning probability: 8.5%

Series G1 Timberwolves lost to the Thunder. What's worse than losing is that facing the Thunder's top defensive system, the Timberwolves made 51 three-pointers crazy, without playing their own style and system at all.

Therefore, big data prediction has already looked at the Timberwolves one-sidedly, and the Timberwolves, who are 0-1 in big scores, have only 12.8% chances of defeating the Thunder and advancing.

However, judging from the process of G1's 8-0 lead at the beginning to the subsequent collapse, the most likely decision on the trend of this round of series will be the harsh standard. Only when the referee relaxes the harsh standard can the Timberwolves show their advantage in confrontation, and there will be a chance that this round of series will be able to play, otherwise Edwards can only create miracles.

Second place: Pacers

Final probability: 57.5%

Champion probability: 9.7%

Pacers gave off a magical performance in G1, not only dragging the series into overtime, but also finally won the series from the away game to a good start, leading 1-0 with the initiative.

After winning the Bucks in the first round and winning the Cavaliers in the second round, Harry performed magic in the G1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, giving away a wonderful two-pointer.

"Most overrated player" Halliburton slapped the league insiders who looked down on him in anonymous interview with him, and also allowed the Pacers to truly crush doubts and become a reasonable championship team.

In addition, the Pacers G1 is even more surprising. The Pacers made 6 consecutive three-pointers in the final quarter, and the Big Heart Shock played another iconic game.

and the 10 players who have been ignored by the outside world, 6 of whom scored in double digits and 8 players scored at least 8 points. Such a terrifying lineup depth and rotation strategy are the invisible advantages of the Pacers against injury risks and lineup adjustments.

The outside world, Carlisle, the champion coach, was carefully arranged, and the Pacers were obviously seriously underestimated by the outside world, just like their core Halliburton.

No doubt, the top position belongs to the Thunder, they have a terrifying lineup depth and rotation like the Pacers.

At the same time, the offense and defense are extremely balanced and top-notch, with almost no obvious shortcomings, especially after the baptism and confrontation with the Nuggets in the semi-finals, this Thunder team has completely transformed.

Plus, the new MVP Alexander will continue to dominate until the playoffs, and he can always get the whistle support. Without any major surprises, the Thunder is indeed the only championship team.

The specific probability is as follows