Chris Paul s player brief analysis: How much oil is left in the 40-year-old Paul s fuel tank?

Recently, Marc Stein said:

"If he (Paul) really returns to the NBA for his 21st season, he (Paul) is determined to play closer to his hometown of Los Angeles."

Previously, according to Draftstack reporter Ary, "The Clippers and Chris Paul are expected to have a common interest in reunion."

During the long regular season, Harden can "control the game" while resting, thereby reducing Harden's playing time burden and even attendance load to a certain extent.

and in playoff-level games, the substitute point guards who can "hold the ball" and control the situation, like the 4th position and the substitute center, are the types of players that the Clippers lack the most.

And this happens to be one of Paul's best. The Clippers also showed interest in Paul as early as the 24-year offseason.

Looking at the Clippers' substitute point guards in recent years, whether it is Westbrook last season or Porter Jr. and Dunn this season with point guard attributes, they are not considered "stable" ball handlers. The control error level is also relatively bad.

Simmons' pass is more inclined to support, and Bogdan is not a real point guard.

Although the increase in age and the decline in personal main attack will lead to a decline in one's ability to tear the defensive formation.

But today Paul is still the top organization master in the league with the ability to maintain ball development.

After all, physical functions and personal attacks may decline with the increase in age. However, when reading the scene, the passing technique will not only not deteriorate, but will also become "becoming the older you get" as you accumulate experience.

Last season, Paul was able to send 9.2 assists every 36 minutes, with only 2 turnovers. The individual's assist share, pass-by-control round share, and real assist-loss ratio are also at the forefront of the league.

The veteran

Last season, Paul was definitely the "model" among all veterans in the league. It was a miracle to have a full attendance at the age of 39.

Paul also became the only player in NBA history to play 82 games in his 20th season of his career.

This is also the second time Paul has played full attendance in his career since the 14-15 Clippers season.

As age increases, it is no longer a secret that Paul's personal attack ability is not as good as before.

But in addition to his amazing attendance, Paul also has a technique that shows "reverse growth", which is his three-pointer.

This season, Paul's shooting frequency of three-pointers with the ball and the receiving and shooting three-pointers has been the highest points in recent years.

At the same time, as a player who mainly holds the ball, his three-point percentage actually reaches 63.5%.

Paul is also the player with the highest three-point percentage among the point guards who have played more than 5 times with the ball every 36 minutes this season.

, like other seasons in his career, Paul's main offensive method is still to launch the pick-and-roll.

Although his efficiency is mediocre, Paul still has a good mid-range pitching feel (46.4% two points and 37% three-pointers), which maintains his minimum offensive threat in pick-and-roll offense.

Therefore, Paul still has a relatively self-consistent pick-and-roll offensive logic system:

The opponent's center is in a downward position, Paul can punish him by holding the ball with a pick-and-roll three-pointer, pick-and-roll emergency stop mid-range shot, and a snake-type/Z-shaped mid-range shot while the pick-and-roll is moving.

If the opponent's center position is raised, it means that the defensive formation will be better changed, and at this time, it will create a better chance of finishing the center.

- If the formation is not fully changed, when the opponent's center is in a downward position, he can punish the opponent's conservative strategy through mid-range shots:

For example, in these two rounds, Towns defends the pick-and-roll and defends the high position, Paul can directly use the snake-shaped mid-range shot during the pick-and-roll, or directly holds the ball and holds the ball for three points, and punishes it.

Pick-and-roll with a ball and three-pointer directly hit Daluo

--the opponent's center lifts up, or the outside line shrinks to help defend, and you can create opportunities for your teammates through top passes.

For example, in this round, Missy went out on the three-point line to delay Paul, and Paul could directly send the pass to the center.

Of course, you can also find a teammate who has a chance to appear like this round.

In addition to pick-and-roll offense, Paul also played a small number of singles last season.

But due to the increase in age, the efficiency is already relatively poor.

without the ball, Paul's offensive methods are mainly limited to fixed-point offense. There have always been some scenes of hand-hand attacking, but the frequency of initiation is very low.

With the decrease in ball-holding and ball-holding time, this is also the season with the highest frequency of Paul's targeted offense in the past three seasons. The obvious problem with Paul's offensive end is that the personal main attack declines with age. There are also very obvious signs of downgrading on the end of the ball. In the past two years, both the round share, the frequency of the ball starting and the time of the ball holding have declined.

On the off-ball end, Paul's contribution is basically limited to fixed-point offense.

His own control mistakes last season was also a season with poor performance compared to himself.

Paul has almost completely stopped shooting in the paint area. Last season, he added up to the basket and the non-bass (near-frame) areas in the paint area, and he only averaged 1 shot per game.

The attacks are distributed in large numbers outside the three-point line and in the long two-point area. Therefore, last season Paul's three-point shooting accounted for the highest proportion of his career.

The shooting distribution also shows that "the farther away from the basket, the more shooting it is."

On the defensive end, Paul is relatively a player who needs to be protected on the single defense end.

But he is not a player who is simply "protected", but a player who can make certain contributions to assist in defense, relying on his defensive experience, IQ and judgment.

Paul can still make defensive rebound contributions above the average level in the same position, and his defensive rebound contributions over the years are also very positive. In the past five years, the team's defensive rebounding rate will increase by 2%.

Summary

Now Paul still has top pass control and stable field control capabilities, which is what the Clippers need.

Now Paul still has a certain ability to develop pick-and-roll offensively, as well as a relatively self-consistent pick-and-roll offensive logic. The three-pointer produced and still have good mid-range shooting ability can also provide Paul with the minimum offensive threat.

In recent years, with the increase in age and team environment, Paul's ball-holding time in the past two years has been declining year by year.

There are not many offensive methods on the off-ball end except for fixed-point attacks and occasional hand-handed hands. The good news is that Paul's fixed-point offense and receiving three-point frequency this season are both at the forefront of his career.

Although Paul is already a single defender who needs protection on the defensive end, the difficulty of the match this season is a new low since his career statistics. But the advantage is that on the side of the defense, he is not "Trey Young", but "Lorry". Without taking on the task of leading defense, he can still make certain contributions to assist defense based on his judgment on the defensive end.

The hidden danger is that Paul is almost no longer shooting in the paint area, and the offensive threat depends extremely on the shooting feel, which means that once the shooting feel fluctuates, it will greatly affect Paul's offensive threat and main offensive contribution.

But no one can predict how Paul, 40, will be in the form of next season. Conley and Lowry have shown signs of a cliff decline this season. Attendance in 82 games this season will inevitably bring greater losses to his body.