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Free market outlook: James may wait for his youngest son Bryce, Kumingga signs first and then switches to the basketball network

9:08pm, 19 May 2025Basketball

2025 NBA free market forecast: The storm changes and the pattern is reshaping

With the advancement of the 2024-25 NBA playoffs, while the championship teams are working hard for the championship, the teams that are entering the holiday early are also quietly planning the free market in the summer of 2025. During this offseason, many star players have expired, and their whereabouts will become a key variable that affects the league's pattern.

Potential superstars flow, reshaping the league structure

LeBron James: Player options

LeBron James, a legendary star who is about to turn 40 but still shows his dominance on the court, holds a $52.6 million player option. Despite his age, he still averaged 24.4 points, 7.8 rebounds, 8.2 assists per game this season, shooting as high as 51.3% from the field and a three-point shooting percentage of 37.6%. The Lakers management has made it clear that it is willing to provide James with a "1+1" maximum salary contract with an annual salary of about $55 million, accompanied by a transaction veto and post-retirement equity incentives. However, if James wants to pursue new challenges in his late years of his career, or to the dream of competing with his youngest son Bryce James, he jumps out of his contract to test the free market, which is very likely to trigger a league earthquake. It's already incredible that LeBron was able to stick to his side until he teamed up with Brownie James, but playing with his two sons is undoubtedly of particular appeal.

Therefore, James is expected to leave some room for himself, he will refuse to execute the option and then re-sign a two-year contract with the Lakers for a total of about $105 million, with the second year being the player option.

James Harden: Player options

Although James Harden's performance in the Clippers has highlights, it is also accompanied by controversy. This season, he averaged 21.3 points, 6.5 rebounds, 10.2 assists, and a three-point shooting percentage of 35.2%. However, his performance in key games has been criticized. Harden, who has $36.3 million in player options next season, is eager for a 2-year contract of around $75 million. The Clippers may not want to invest too long in two players in their thirties, especially since there are no young, development potential players growing in their roster. However, the Clippers hope that Harden can maintain the same contract years as Leonard, a new contract that lasts until the 2026-27 season, makes sense. The rise of the Middle Zodiac players has stirred up the free market turmoil

Jonathan Kumingga: Restricted free agent

Jonathan Kumingga, as a new star trained by the Warriors, has exploded this season before Butler joined, averaging 19.4 points, 6.3 rebounds, 2.5 assists, a shooting percentage of 49.2%, and a three-point shooting percentage of 37.5%, showing super athletic talent and offensive potential. But after Butler joined, Kumingga was once DNP. In addition, his contract renewal negotiations with the Warriors are deadlocked, and Kumingga expects to get a contract with an annual salary of more than $35 million, and the Warriors' offer is not even more than $30 million. Considering that the Warriors' salary space is tight, and core players such as Curry, Butler, and Green occupy a large amount of salary, Kumingga's attractiveness in the free market cannot be underestimated. There are reports that the Nets are eyeing Kumingjia and may launch a competition, which will have a significant impact on the Warriors' future forward layout and may also become a key puzzle for other teams to rebuild.

Miles Turner: Complete free agent

Miles Turner plays an important role in the Pacers, averaging 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds, 2 blocks this season, shooting 48.1% from the field and 39.6% from three-pointers, making him one of the most suitable inside players in the small ball era. But the Pacers have difficulty giving Turner a contract that matches its market value in order to avoid luxury taxes. Turner expects a multi-year contract with a salary of at least $35 million a year, and as a 29-year-old all-around center, he has no shortage of suitors in the market. If the Warriors want to improve their inside strength and the Lakers seek to upgrade their center position, they may target Turner, which will affect the stability of the Pacers' lineup and bring new vitality to other teams' inside.

The value of role players is highlighted, affecting the team's lineup depth

Naz Reed: Player options

Naz Reed gradually emerged in the Timberwolves, averaging 14.2 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists and shooting percentage 46.2% and 37.9% from the three-point range, performing well on the offensive end. The Timberwolves are facing salary pressure to provide Reed with contract renewal when they have high-paid players such as Edwards and Gobert. If the Pistons give up players such as Malik Beasley, Schroeder and Tim Hardaway Jr., they will receive a certain salary space. They have shown a strong interest in Reed and hope to recruit him with a generous contract. This will change the depth of the Timberwolves' inside line and inject new vitality into the Pistons' reconstruction.

The 2025 NBA free market is full of uncertainty and infinite possibilities. Each team will show their magical powers in this player battle based on their own strategic planning, salary space and player needs. Whether it is the flow of superstars or the whereabouts of Mesozoic players and role players, it will profoundly affect the future pattern of the league. Let us wait and see this surprise offseason.

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