Let it go, or don t let it go? Manchester United Hotspur decided to belong to the Champions League, Chelsea faces challenges, Villa benefited
11:20am, 15 May 2025Football
The Premier League is coming to an end, and there are two rounds of games waiting for the last two weeks. Unexpectedly, although Manchester United and Tottenham have slipped to the bottom of the relegation zone, the two teams can not only compete for a Champions League place, but also affect Premier League teams, who can participate in the Champions League.
At present, 16 European teams have won seats in the Champions League next season, including 12 teams in the five major leagues, 3 teams each in La Liga, Ligue 1 and Serie A, and 2 teams in the Bundesliga. The Premier League has an unprecedented 6 Champions League places, but the fewest, only Liverpool has locked in the Champions League place in advance.
From the perspective of the standings, many teams with huge goal difference advantage can participate in the Champions League as long as they score 69 points. According to this calculation method, Arsenal is 1 point away, Newcastle is 3 points away, and Manchester City is 4 points away. Among them, Arsenal and Newcastle met on the weekend, and no matter what the result was, in fact, teams that advanced to the Champions League can be produced.
At the same time, the situation of the Premier League's "five-fighting" is gradually becoming clear. Arsenal (68 points), Newcastle (66 points) and Manchester City (65 points) not only have the advantage of points, but also the advantage of goal difference. Under the dual advantages, as long as there is no big upset, it will be difficult for the three teams to enter the Champions League. The last place will be generated between Chelsea (63 points), Aston Villa (63 points) and Nottingham Forest (62 points).
Looking at the schedule, the remaining opponents of these three teams are very interesting, and Manchester United and Tottenham became the biggest disruptors. At the same time, in the last round of the Premier League, Chelsea and Nottingham Forest meet may become a key game of "choose one of two". Compared with the final of the Championship upgrade play-off held a day ago, it is regarded as two "price-to-money" finals involving hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue.
Chelsea's last two opponents are Manchester United and Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa is Tottenham and Manchester United, and Nottingham Forest is West Ham and Chelsea. In addition, the European League final between Chelsea and Real Betis is scheduled to be held on Wednesday after the end of the Premier League. Maresca needs to reasonably allocate the lineup of two "finals" games, which is believed to have a significant impact on the final match of the Premier League.
Obviously, Manchester United met Chelsea and Villa in the last two rounds, while Tottenham faced Villa, two "brothers in distress". Unexpectedly, they would become the "judge" who qualified for the Champions League in the final stage of the league. In the last 10 league games, Tottenham Hotspur has won only one game, with the opponent being Southampton and Manchester United slightly better, winning two games, Leicester City and Ipswich. The three wins happened to face relegation teams. The two teams in the UEFA Cup finals are no longer in the league.
Mid next week, Manchester United and Tottenham will go to Bilbao, Spain to participate in the most important game of the whole season, the Premier League, there is no longer any so-called. Or in other words, the league has become a player who has returned from injury such as Son Heung-min and Diallo, and find the last chance to be in the best form as soon as possible. At this time, it is really a blessing for anyone to meet these two teams. Moreover, if you let it go, no one can guess who will let it go.
Aston Villa is considered a "lucky person". He will face these two opponents one after another. As long as he wins two consecutive games, he should have 70% or 80% chance of staying in the Champions League. Chelsea faces Manchester United this week, taking all three-pointers is the only option. Otherwise, if they cannot defeat Manchester United, they may not be able to enter the Champions League even if they defeat Nottingham Forest in the last round.
Last season, Nuno took over halfway through and led the team to perform a miracle, and finally completed the relegation mission excellently. This season, the magical story continues and has long been in the top three. Unfortunately, in the last six league games, Nottingham Forest suddenly slipped to seventh place, losing the initiative to "fight for five". Even if the rest wins, it depends on the expression of others.
After a few days ago, the team owner Marinakis rushed into the stadium and had some "disputes" with Nuno. Some media even disclosed that there were similar disputes in the player channel. In response, Nottingham Forest official had to issue a notice to "refute the rumors", saying that everyone was only concerned about Avoniyi's injury and did not have any conflicts with Nuno.
No matter what the inside story is, if you defeat Leicester City, the situation in Nottingham Forest is still very optimistic. However, now it is seventh in points and not much goal difference. It is becoming increasingly difficult for the Forest team to relive the glory of more than 40 years ago and return to the top stage in Europe.
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