Saturday 010 Kyoto VS Tokyo FC Event Analysis

1. The team's recent status and injuries

Isaiah Kyoto (4th place in the league)

Recent status: 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 main games, excellent condition; 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 draws at home have remained unbeaten by 310 in the last 7 home games. But I just finished the Emperor Cup in the middle of the week (beating Oita Sanji 2-0), and my physical fitness is doubtful.

Offensive and defensive performance: Scoring 27 goals in the league and conceding 22 goals, with stable offense but hidden dangers in defense; scoring at least 2 goals in each of the last 5 games, with an open style.

Injury List: Goalkeeper Goo Shengrun (menis injured, absent from December 2024).

Tokyo FC (17th place in the league)

Recent status: 3 consecutive defeats in the league and has not scored a goal, with 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 4 games; the away winning rate is only 30% (3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 away games).

Offensive and Defensive shortcomings: 17 goals and conceded 23 goals in the league, ranking last in offensive efficiency; he was blocked in three times in the last 5 games.

Injury List: Guard Bai Renhuan (hammered hamstring injury, expected to return on April 21 but did not return to the team).

2. Historical confrontation record: In the last 6 matches, Tokyo FC has the advantage with 4 wins and 2 losses, but the most recent (August 2024) Kyoto won 3-0 at home.

Kyoto's home performance:

Home game against Tokyo FC is only 33% (2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 6 main games).

Historical scores fluctuate greatly: there are both 2-0 wins (March 2023) and 1-3 defeats (June 2023).

3. Tokyo FC psychological advantage: I have won 4 games in the past 6 matches, but the away weak this season may be difficult to continue.

3. Mainstream prediction results

Winning tendency:

Kyoto Dora wins (probability 45%-55%): Unbeaten at home + Tokyo FC is in a sluggish state, but midfield control may be weakened due to the high cost of Hirado.

draw (probability 30%-35%): Tokyo FC needs to relegate and grab points or defend to the death, Kyoto will consume a lot of physical energy in the middle of the week.

Tokyo FC win (probability <20%): The away win rate is only 17%, and the offense is silent and it is difficult to turn the tables.

2. Score and tactical prediction:

Most likely score: 2-1 (Kyoto narrowly wins) or 1-1 (stalemate).

Key tactical points: Kyoto needs to rely on the front line to suppress Tokyo's fragile defense line; if Tokyo concedes the goal first, the probability of a comeback is only 13%.

3. Betting suggestions:

priority is that Kyoto is unbeaten (main victory + draw combination).

Kobe total goals ≥2.5 goals (nearly 80% of Kyoto's games meet this standard).