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Sunday 020 Celta vs. Vallecano! The home team returns to the European game with only time left!

9:11pm, 18 May 2025Football

1. Game background and fighting spirit

1. Celta's European qualification competition

Celta currently ranks 7th in La Liga with 15 wins, 7 draws and 14 losses, leading 8th place Vallecano 4 points. If you win this game, you will be qualified for the UEFA Cup next season (the top five in La Liga directly advance to the Champions League, 6-7 in the UEFA Cup). The team has been in excellent shape recently, with 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 rounds, including a away defeat to Real Sociedad, and its home record is even more impressive (11 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at home in 18 rounds, 5th in the league).

2. Vallecano

Vallecano's team has been in a state of ups and downs recently, with 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 rounds, but its away performance is weak (3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 away games).

2. Comparison of tactics and lineup

- Celta

- Tactical system: Focusing on the 343 formation, relying on the frontcourt fulcrum Iglesias's ability to grab points, Gonzarez on the left assists frequently, and the overall offensive advancement is smooth.

- Key player: Forward Aspas (16 goals) is still the core, but his efficiency has declined recently; the midfielder is responsible for organizing and scheduling.

- Injury impact: Main defender Starfelt and midfielder Galsen are absent, which may weaken defensive stability.

- Vallecano

- Tactical system: adopts a 4231 formation, focusing on defensive counterattacks, weak positional combat capabilities, but faster counterattacks.

- Key players: Forward Garcia has impact, midfielders Cice and Dias are responsible for interception.

- Injury issues: Main center back Abdul Muming is absent for a long time, midfielder core Pat Cice is suspended, and there are hidden dangers on the defensive end.

3. Historical confrontations and data

- Last 10 matches: Celta has a slight disadvantage in 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, but has remained unbeaten in the last 3 home matches, 1 win and 2 draws.

- Index tendency: The initial main position was at a high of 0.75. Some institutions believe that this concession was deep, but it is still reasonable in combination with Celta's home court advantages and fighting spirit.

- Odds signal: The draw odds are high at 3.80, and the away win is above 4.30. The market is suspected of attracting the draw, and the main win is more favored.

4. The key to winning and losing, and predictions

1. Celta's offensive firepower

The home team has recently blossomed at multiple points on the offensive end, averaging 1.7 goals per game in the last four games and averaging 2.75 goals per game at home, and is expected to create a threat through suppression on the wing.

2. Vallecano's defensive resilience

The visiting team has averaged 1.3 goals per game in the last 15 games, but the defensive rotation players are not experienced, and the loopholes may be exposed when facing Celta's high-pressure.

3. Game trend forecast

- Win-loss tendency: Celta has a stronger fighting spirit and a clear home court advantage. The organization supports the main victory, but beware of Vallecano's counterattack efficiency.

- Score options: The mainstream prediction is Celta's 2-1 or 1-0 win, and if Vallecano makes a defensive mistake, the score difference may be widened.

- Number of goals: The two sides have only had big goals in the last 5 matches, but Celta's recent big goal rate is 93%, and this game may continue to open up.

5. Comprehensive conclusion

Celta has a high probability of winning the game when he plays at home, has clear fighting intentions and is in a hot offensive state. Although Vallecano has a good defense, due to the depth of the lineup and the weak away game, it is difficult to stop the home team from qualifying for the European competition.

Recommended main victory

Age reference 10 21

Pictures are from the Internet

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