194 million in 4 years! Randall is facing a contract renewal, is it worth it?

Everyone knows that the Timberwolves season is over.

However, the problem that belongs to the Timberwolves management has just begun, because in the upcoming offseason, they will face many renewals from players, such as their second-core playoff Randle.

Let's talk about Randall's situation first. He currently has a player option worth 30.94 million in the 2025-26 season. He must decide whether to execute the option or break out of the contract before June 30. If the player option is executed, Randall is eligible to sign a contract renewal with the Timberwolves with a starting salary of 43 million and a total value of 194 million in four years.

So the question is, 194 million in 4 years, is Randall worth it?

Last offseason, Randall came to the Timberwolves in the trade of Towns. The deal caused a lot of discussion at that time. In the end, Randall handed over the regular season: 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game, and 48.5%/34.4%/80.6% from three events.

is definitely not comparable to Towns, and his score has also dropped by 5.3 points compared to his previous year, but his efficiency has improved a little, and his real shooting percentage is 59.3% is the personal high in the past six years, higher than any year in the Knicks. Randall's joining once made the Timberwolves go through a period of pain. They only won 21 games in the first 40 games, and they could not see the level of the team in the Western Conference last year. Fortunately, the Timberwolves used a 17-4-loss end of the season to reach fifth place in the Western Conference.

During this period, Randall's performance also improved. Although he averaged only 18.2 points per game, his shooting percentage was 52.3%, his three-point shooting percentage was 39.8%, and his real shooting percentage reached 63.0%.

Randall, who entered the playoffs, maintained his strength at the end of the season, especially in the two rounds of the Lakers and the Warriors. He made good use of his size and confrontation advantages. In two rounds of games:

- Average to the Lakers, averaging 22.6 points, 5.2 rebounds, 4.4 assists per game, and a real shooting percentage of 61.1%

- Average to the Warriors, averaging 25.2 points, 6.6 rebounds, 7.4 assists per game, and a real shooting percentage of 62.9%

10 games, Randall scored 20+ in 8 games, 25+ in 5 games, and another game scored 24 points, 10 rebounds and 12 assists. It is no exaggeration to say that when the first two rounds were finished, his performance was not inferior to Edwards. Randall made an indelible contribution to the Timberwolves being able to return to the Western Conference Finals.

If you renew your contract at this point, I think Randall will definitely maximize his interests, but the problem is that Randall in the Western Conference Finals failed to continue his performance in the first two rounds. Facing the Thunder, which has obviously stronger defense, Randall has 5 games:

—G1, 28 points, 8 rebounds and 1 assist, 9 of 13 shots, 6 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, 2

—G3 , 24 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, 9 of 15 shots - G4, 5 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, 1

- G5, 24 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, 8

G1, G3, G5, Randall made very good performances, especially in the first half of G1, who almost supported the team alone, but G2 and G4, Randall had both bigger games, and had 18 shots in the two games, only 11 points.

Losing is definitely not Randall's fault, but this round of series exposed many problems with Randall. For example, fans always say that Edwards cannot break the double-team, and Randall has no choice but to face the Thunder's double-team. Even as long as the inside can be strong, Randall's finishing efficiency will decrease.

Although Randle can be used as an organizational striker, he has made many mistakes, averaging 2.8 turnovers per game in the regular season, and increased to 3.3 in the playoffs. It is normal for 4 mistakes and 5 mistakes in a single game. In 5 games of the Western Conference Finals, he sent a total of 15 assists and made 18 mistakes.

and most importantly, Randall is too unstable, which is also a shortcoming he has shown in previous games. He can open up the situation when he feels good, but he can even play negatively when he feels bad or falls behind in big scores, which may be unacceptable to many fans. Is Randall worth 194 million in 4 years? I think the answer is likely to be no. You should know that the Eastern Conference Final MVP Siakam signed a four-year contract with the Pacers last summer with only 190 million yuan. Although Randall averaged 21.7 points per game this year's playoffs, which is higher than Siakam's 21.1 points, does anyone think Randall is a better player? I think the answer is obviously no. Siakam is much better than Randall's defense, offensive stability, and control mistakes in both defense and errors.

It should be said that the Timberwolves management faces not only Randle, but also Reed (almost 100% off the player option), Alexander Walker (complete free agent), and Divinchenzo (can be renewed in advance).

It is generally believed that among the three Randall, Reed and Alexander Walker, the Timberwolves may only be left behind, otherwise they will trigger the second rich line, and the reason they sent Towns away at that time was to avoid excessive spending.

and it should be noted that the Timberwolves have a first-round pick this year (17th pick), but there are six first-round picks in the next seven years that cannot be mastered by themselves, so the sustainability of the Timberwolves lineup is not high, depending on the growth of young players such as Dillingham, Shannon, and Clark, and more on the existing core..

As for Randall, 194 million in four years is definitely a bit high. Maybe the Timberwolves can control his average annual salary to around 40 million, which will be an ideal price. If the annual salary is 50 million, the Timberwolves may have a lot of trouble in the future.