8.19 "The New Era of Bernabeu! Alonso s debut + Mbappe s first La Liga match, Real Madrid s remaining formation hit Osasuna s iron wall"

Key background and recent state

Real Madrid's new era kicked off

Xavi Alonso took over as head coach's first official league game, and introduced Trent Alexander Arnold (right back), Dean Juisen (center back), and Alvaro Carreras (left back) to reorganize the defense line.

Only played one friendly match before the season (4-0 defeat to Tyrol), and its competitive state is doubtful; the previous loss to Paris 0-4 in the semi-finals of the Club World Cup exposed the offense and defense connection problem.

Injury crisis: Bellingham (shoulder injury 3 months), Camavenga (ankle injury), Mendy (muscular injury), Enderick (injury) and suspended Rudiger suffered a deep down in the mid- and backcourt rotation.

Osasuna's steady counterattack

New coach Alessio Lisi (former coach of the Spanish Second Division) took office. He lost the main defender Unai Garcia and midfielder Ivanez in the summer window, and only made up for forward Victor Muños (Real Madrid youth training)

Only 1 win in the first six friendly matches, and the away weakness continued - in 19 away games last season, only 2 wins and 10 draws, with the fewest goals in the league (15 goals)

The only injury is missing: winger Iker Benito, and his offensive end depends on 21 goals last season's scorer Ante Budimir's breakthrough.

Tactics and lineup deduction

Real Madrid (4-3-3)

Courtois; Alexander Arnold, Juisen, Militon, Carreras; Valverde (captain), Chu'améni, Guerre; Rodrigo/Dias, Mbappe, Vinicius.

Offensive Trident Speed Suppression: Mbappe (Golden Boot of La Liga last season) and Vinicius impacted, and Guerre replaced Bellingham's forward-spinning organization. Hidden dangers on the defense line: The new player combination lacks tacit understanding + Rudiger is absent, and the high-altitude defense is under pressure.

Osasuna (4-4-2)

Herrera; Rosier, Bojomo, Catena, Cruz; Moncayola, Toro, Oros, Garcia; Budimir, Muños.

→Middle lane dense + quick conversion: Double midfielder Toro Moncayola intercepts, relying on Oros' direct pass + Budimir fulcrum. Away strategy: Have scored goals in the last five away games, but only 1 away game in the defensive end is 13 away games.

Historical confrontation and data insights

Crushing advantage: Real Madrid has been unbeaten against Osasuna in 20 consecutive league games (14 wins and 6 draws), Bernabeu has won 13 wins and 2 draws in the last 15 games, and has averaged 4-0 sweeps per game in the past two home games.

Home dominance: Real Madrid won 16 home games in 19 last season (best in the league), while Osasuna's away winning rate was only 10.5%.

Referee Scale: Referee Cordro Vie averaged 4.8 yellow cards per game this season, with a strict law enforcement style, which is not good for Osasuna's midfield strangle tactics.

Key points of victory and loss

Real Madrid's efficiency in breaking the iron barrel: Osasuna is expected to defend at a low post, relying on fullback Alexander Arnold's cross (the king of Premier League assists last season) and Vinicius' breakthrough to create space.

Osasuna's counterattack quality: Budimir's experience gap against Huyson. If Real Madrid pushes too deep, the threat of Oros's straight pass will increase sharply.

Midfielder control: Chu Améni Valverde needs to block Osasuna's advancement in the middle, otherwise it may repeat the scene of the Club World Cup defeated by counterattack

Data support:

Real Madrid's handicap win (-1.5) odds are 1.73, risk-return balanced;

The whole game is > 2.5 goals (1.57), and 4 matches have been reached in the last 5 matches;

Real Madrid's leading probability is high (7 first record in the last 8 leagues)

Summary: Real Madrid's home strength crushes + the new coach's intention to make a big move, but the restructuring of the defense line and the toughness of Osasuna's counterattack may create suspense.