Saturday 024/Premier League [Manchester City VS Burnley] Score Forecast [Hong Xiaoyu] Professional Football Say

Premier Premier League Preview: Manchester City VS Burnley Score Prediction

Manchester City 2-0 Burnley

Core Analysis

1. Comparison of League Situation and Fighting Intention

Manchester City: Ranked 9th, 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), eager to return to the victory track at home

Burneley: Ranked 16th, 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), challenge the goal away from home to avoid big score losses

Fighting Intention Assessment: Manchester City urgently needs to rebound at home, and Burnley is extremely difficult to win away

2. Historical confrontations and psychological advantages

Manchester City has won all against Burnley in the last 13 times, scoring 46 The goal is the fourth longest winning streak against a single opponent in the club's history

Burnley has not won in his last 19 Premier League away games against Manchester City, and his last away game was 1963 (5-2)

Key data: Manchester City won all the games against Burnley in the past ten home games, with a goal difference of 44, and averaging 4.4 goals per game

3. Home and away performance differences

vs. Manchester City Burnley's advantaged party has played nearly 6 home games4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 15 goals conceded 4 goals, and the last 6 away games0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, Manchester City's home win rate is 67%0% Manchester City's home advantageIttihad Stadium has become a stadium "Cray "The probability of a road defense collapse is high. Manchester City

4. Injuries and lineup impact

Manchester City Injuries: Haaland (back injury, suspected appearance), Marmush, Kovacic, Sherky and other people were injured, but the core lineup is relatively complete

Burnley Injuries: Amduni (knee injury), Roberts, Bayer and others were injured, and the defensive system was seriously damaged

Impact Assessment: Haaland will weaken Manchester City's offensive end, but Foden can serve as the pseudo-Nine; Burnley has many injuries in the midfield and backcourt, and there are obvious loopholes in defense

5. Tactical characteristics and goal expectations

Manchester City Tactics: 4-3-3 Formation, ball possession rate is about 65%, mainly focus on wing breakthroughs and middle penetration

Burnley tactics: It is expected to adopt a 5-4-1 deep defensive formation, with intensive defense as the main focus, and counterattacks rely on wing speed

Goal expectations: Burnley has obvious loopholes in away defense, and has conceded 2.0 goals per game; Manchester City has strong attack power at home, scoring 15 goals in the last 6 home games

Historical confrontation data: 4 of the last 10 confrontations total goals > 2.5

6. Gambling data and professional predictions

Asian handicap: Manchester City has - 1.5 to - 2.0 goals, moderate water level, and the market is highly optimistic about the home team

European losses data: Manchester City wins 1.10-1.20, draws 6.00-8.00, Burnley wins 15.00-20.00

Professional Forecast: Multiple analytical institutions unanimously predict that Manchester City will win 2-0 or 3-0, with a winning rate generally ranging from 77%-85%

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Manchester City will beat Burnley 2-0 at home. The main basis is as follows:

Overwhelming advantage in historical confrontations: Manchester City has won 13 consecutive victories against Burnley, and has won all ten games at home against Burnley. The psychological advantage is huge.

The difference in home and away performances is obvious: Manchester City's home record is stable (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), Burnley's away performance is poor (0 wins, 0 draws, 2 Loss), the gap in offense and defense data is significant

Tactical style restraint: Manchester City's ball-handling style and wide-break breakthroughs can effectively target Burnley's defensive weaknesses; Burnley's counterattack tactics are difficult to play in the away game

Injury impact is uneven: Although Haaland may be absent, Manchester City's lineup is deep enough to deal with; Burnley's injuries are concentrated in the midfield and backcourt, and the defensive system is seriously damaged

Gambling data unanimously supported: mainstream predictions are generally optimistic about Manchester City's home victory, and handicap and low victory losses reflect the market's high confidence in the home team

The game will present a pattern of Manchester City leading ball-handling and Burnley's defensive counterattack. Manchester City will create scoring opportunities with Foden's organizational ability and wide breakthroughs. Although Burnley has defensive intentions, it is difficult to pose a substantial threat to Manchester City's goal due to poor away performance and injuries. In the end, Manchester City's 2-0 home victory over Burnley was the most reasonable prediction.

Score prediction: Manchester City 2-0 Burnley